Facebook Everything has a lifespan. There’s nothing in the world or universe that is immortal. It is just a matter of time.

Social media and social networks are in their infancy. They began gaining ground only few years ago. We haven’t been around it long enough to know what the life expectancy is. As we gain more data as time goes on, and social media platforms fall and rise, we will begin to understand how they truly work. What makes them tick. We don’t know much, though we claim we do. The only thing we do know is how people use it, how often, and basic demographics.

Don’t get me wrong, I enjoy Facebook. It’s a great way to stay connected with friends and family, while getting more customer engagement for your business. I’m just thinking out loud.

Facebook’s growth keeps adding more mass, there will be a point in time when Facebook will reach the climax. It will be massive. What will it be? I don’t know, but my guess and bet goes on privacy breach. Any spammer would love to get their hands on such a massive treasure chest of private information. It’s just a matter of time until a hacker will find a weakness and hack Facebook, dealing a deathly blow to the giant.

Just think of Heartland Data Systems data breach or the recent PlayStation Network breach.

Who knows, I’m just thinking out loud. You can’t be as massive as Facebook for a long time, someone will find a way to break it. My estimate, within the next 5 years someone will hack Facebook.

My bet, also, goes out for niche social networks that are gaining popularity. Instead if being massively packed into one can like  sardines, join niche networks that really do matter to what you’re doing. My feeling is that niche networks will rip Facebook apart piece by piece, but it will take time.

And if you disagree with me, that’s good. Do share your thoughts on Facebook in the comments section. I will reply to all of them.

  • http://www.instantdane.tv Dane Findley

    If the world can support Coke and Pepsi, then the world can support Facebook and …..?

    • http://viktorsblog.com/ Viktor Nagornyy

      Thanks for commenting Dane. Coke and Pepsi don’t have personal data for over 500 million people. 

      Maybe, just a thought, it also has something to do with timing. Those brands were found at a time when people had larger attention span and actually looked at advertising. So it grew on us. With the digital generation, our attention span is as low as 9 seconds. Don’t know if it helps or hinders Facebook, but I think social media inherited short life span of our attention… we’re always looking for the latest, coolest, most shiny thing.

      I might be completely wrong and in the next 10 years we will be saying Facebook Pledge of Allegiance instead =D

      Thanks again.

  • http://twitter.com/LewisPoretz Lewis Poretz

    Facebook has become a big spam machine to me… sure you can change settings, but that is very complicated for many. I think it will evolve for the better… im tired of seeing pitch after pitch down the stream…

    • http://viktorsblog.com/ Viktor Nagornyy

      Yes, and that’s where Diaspora is trying to get competitive advantage over Facebook… give you privacy controls. Once their platform is out of testing and available to all, many niche social networks will spring up and, I think, will begin ripping FB apart… piece by piece. I’m just speculating of course. =)